COT mixed

COT is showing mixed sentiment: both long and short on SP/ES.

COT and Market participants

Markets have the complete statistics of the market participants' hand, so again, markets trade against the crowd. It is a waste of time, energy, resource, and money to show hands since the valuable resource is only used and abused in totality.

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COT is again showing the same sentiment which I commented on for a few weeks. Whether the sentiment is correctly representing the actual sentiment is uncertain.

Usually, commercial is trading against the crowd. I hope that it is not the case.


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COT is showing Small and large speculator sentiment is showing high bullish sentiment reading in a year. This happened when the Bush bailout trap sell-off in Sept/Oct 2008.

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COT

COT is showing Small and large speculator sentiment is showing high bullish sentiment reading in a year. This happened when the Bush bailout trap sell-off in Sept/Oct 2008.

Mainstreet "Obama hope", but we have a hate war going on between the new admin and the Wall Street/Traders.

Some of the calls could be hedging short positions, however, as noted on previous post, we have "Option Expo" in March. Having high volatility during Feb certainly sparks option risk hedge interest. Markets are oversold in light volumes and are murdered since the Bush bailout sell-trap fiasco making fortune from sharp sell-off.

Imagine what those who are living in Gaza -- the pain which they feel and experience for those who lost they loved ones and house. Imagine the anger they feel. They must be crying out to "ALLAH".... Hamas should never start to fire rockets again. Neither is making good sense even though cruel defense could be somewhat justifiable. Imagine millions of Americans lost job and suffering from financial crisis -- the anger which they have -- either find peace in God or will explode sooner or later.

COT - crush of large/small speculators

When COT shows extreme readings, it is good to pay attention to it. As commented on the previous post, we have historic and unusual manipulation of the markets at the time when the large/small speculators were not expecting the sell-off as we can see the net sentiment was most bullish in a year.

This is "Commercials" against majority; and for this time, it was "bailout" scheme by Bush/Paulson as we know how the bailout and market behaved.

Again, COT is fitting into the big LT plan of American wealth deterioration due to the big long term plan by the mega fund as the COT is showing a snap shot of the recent market sentiment prior to the bailout crisis hype vs the subsequent market sell-off.



COT ~ large and small speculators were forced to sale as market sentiment was not as bearish going into the recent market bailout crisis hype. Net market sentiment was bullish as the net long was the highest point in a year going into "bailout". Evidently, the market crisis was planned to screw up as many as possible.

COT - crush of large/small speculators

Crushed Large/Small speculators: large on SP-DJ /small on ES speculator sentiment spiked. I hope that you do market research and post some thorough comments so that I will take time off.

Commercials often do trade against them (small/large). With the high spike, obviously commercials found financial crisis drama to crush markets. The positive sentiment was only one of the reasons that markets sold off to crush large/small speculators, obviously.

Market COT & Margin

COT shows traders risk adverse which is confirmed by margin account activities.
Margin account activities also show traders risk adverse positions as cash level is higher than margin level which is the first time since Oct 2002 low. Conversely, markets are hyping by supporting at critical supports such as we have see on 5/23/2008 LOD to lure in the cash positions; however, COT low commitment is on going for several weeks as we can see on COT that large speculators are on short-side except DOW.