Showing posts with label FAS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label FAS. Show all posts

Monday, June 29, 2009

FAS and FAZ

Furthermore, if the stocks behave the same as those have been during the last 7 months, then, whoever bought the stocks for longer term will just continue to lose money even though the Direxion would make money for fee and for NPV.

Just compare the original value x the offering # of shares

Right now, the Direxion is better off, but not share holders. Conclusion is the stocks are just for vst/st trades.



Volatility % remains relatively the same, but $$$$ of the volatility will be larger.


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It would as far as volatility amount is concerned.

e.g. 3% move of $50 stock would be different than 3% move of $9.

Many would not trade FAZ/FAS because the price is too low.

And some brokerage fee would be too high to trade the stocks because the trading fee is based on # of shares, not by per trade.

Pre-Split
100 $ 9.00 $ 8.96 $ 896.00

Post-Split
20 $ 45.00 $ 44.80 $ 896.00

The Board of Trustees of Direxion Shares ETF Trust has approved reverse splits of the issued and outstanding shares of both the Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (“Financial Bull Fund”) and Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (“Financial Bear Fund”).

After the close of the markets on July 8, 2009 (the “Record Date”), the Financial Bull Fund will effect a one for five reverse split of its issued and outstanding shares and the Financial Bear Fund will effect a one for ten reverse split of its issued and outstanding shares. As a result of these reverse splits, every five shares of the Financial Bull Fund will be exchanged for one share and every ten shares of the Financial Bear Fund will be exchanged for one share. Accordingly, the number of the Financial Bull Fund and Financial Bear Fund’s issued and outstanding shares will decrease by approximately 80% and 90%, respectively. In addition, the per share net asset value (“NAV”) and next day’s opening market price of each the Financial Bull Fund and the Financial Bear Fund will be approximately five-times higher and ten-times higher, respectively. Shareholders of record on the Record Date will participate in the reverse splits. Shares of the Financial Bull and Financial Bear Funds will begin trading on NYSE Arca, Inc. (“NYSE Arca”) on a split-adjusted basis on Thursday, July 9, 2009 (the “Effective Date”).

The next day’s opening market value of the Financial Bull and Financial Bear Funds’ issued and outstanding shares, and thus a shareholder’s investment value, will not be affected by the reverse splits. The table below illustrates the effect of a hypothetical one for five reverse split anticipated for the Financial Bull Fund:

# of Shares
Hypothetical
Total Market
Period
Owned Hypothetical NAV Market Price Value

Pre-Split
100 $ 9.00 $ 8.96 $ 896.00
Post-Split
20 $ 45.00 $ 44.80 $ 896.00

The table below illustrates the effect of a hypothetical one for ten reverse split anticipated for the Financial Bear Fund:

# of Shares
Hypothetical
Total Market
Period
Owned Hypothetical NAV Market Price Value

Pre-Split
100 $ 5.00 $ 5.01 $ 501.00
Post-Split
10 $ 50.00 $ 50.10 $ 501.00

The Trust’s transfer agent will notify the Depository Trust Company (“DTC”) of each reverse split and instruct DTC to adjust each shareholder’s investment(s) accordingly. DTC is the registered owner of each Fund’s shares and maintains a record of each Fund’s record owners.

Redemption of Fractional Shares and Tax Consequences for each Reverse Split

As a result of the reverse splits, a shareholder of a Fund’s shares potentially could hold a fractional share. However, fractional shares cannot trade on the NYSE Arca. Thus, each Fund will redeem for cash a shareholder’s fractional shares at that Fund’s split-adjusted NAV as of the Record Date. Such redemption may have tax implications for those shareholders and a shareholder could recognize gain or loss in connection with the redemption of the shareholder’s fractional shares. Otherwise, neither reverse split will result in a taxable transaction for holders of Funds’ shares. No transaction fee will be imposed on shareholders for such redemption.

“Odd Lot” Unit

Also as a result of the reverse splits, each Fund will have outstanding one aggregation of less than 50,000 shares to make a creation unit, or an “odd lot unit.” Thus, each Fund will provide one authorized participant with a one-time opportunity to redeem the odd lot unit at the split-adjusted NAV or the NAV on such date the authorized participant seeks to redeem the odd lot unit.

* * * * *

Please retain a copy of this Supplement with your Prospectus

Monday, May 25, 2009

Deteriorating price pattern: FAS & FAZ

FAS/FAZ deteriorating Price: As previously, noted FAS/FAZ prices are both deteriorating as shown on the price charts. To briefly comment on the price impact, there are several contributing reasons such as 1) loss of values from rebalancing, 2) manipulation of market makers, and 3) competition among market markers, and other factors. The aforementioned stated speculations are based on what I have observed.Fact is that prices are dramatically deteriorating since its inception, however, when we compare the banking indexes, the dramatic price actions are within the context which we are considering even though the FAS/FAS have been around only about 7 months since Nov 2008. The 3x price action is much like that of financial indexes performance in a much shorter period.

Based on the short life span of 3x, especially the FAS and FAZ price actions, can we conclude that the 3x ETF by Direxion would fail to live up to the longevity of SPY, DIA, and IWM as example. FAS and FAZ, among 3x ETFs, look to be exceptions and the price actions are exaggerated by the recent banking industry volatility. Furthermore, the exploding trading volumes and the management fee do not help to retain the value of the stocks.



Saturday, May 23, 2009

FAS and FAZ

Some are speculating that FAZ/FAS is going to zero as we can see the prices of bull and bear fund prices are deteriorating fairly quickly. However, I do not think that the stocks will further deteriorate as it can fast rise with manipulation which took the prices down. The prices can rise as quickly as it has fallen.

The overlay prices comparative analysis is showing there is no close correlation between FAZ and FAS even though the overall price trend is showing low correlation.

FAZ/FAS charts show and speak loud enough to see what the prices are doing - deteriorating prices in a short period.





Conversely, SKF and XLF do show a bit more stable price activities.




Even though there were fine prints on FAZ/FAS prospectus, we may see some law suits against the firm.

Friday, April 24, 2009

Market Calls

FAS 7 bounce



DOW 7800 pivot




AAPL 127 R





SPY Pivot 85 r


SPY 87.85 r backtest




SPY backtest at 85


FAZ backtest at 10


Thursday, February 12, 2009

Market volatility and FAS

FAS intraday volatility 16.55% today. FAS 8.69 -0.30 -3.36% range 16.55%. Huge volume, the second highest volume, so far, after the 2/10/2009. The high volumes came in going into close. It moved 18% going into close since 3pm.

After open, markets went into doom and gloom and just when it seems that markets are falling into deep holes, the dark cloud is pushed away, and markets bounced from the supports finishing the day moderately neutral to positive -- a sigh of relief for now.

When the dark doom cloud is going to be away and to stay away is the big question, but I see a ray of hope as markets closed above SPX 800 and Nasdaq 1500, but sadly DOW closing at 7932 refusing to show a sign of hope closing below intensely watched DOW 8000 support -- technically, DOW is a rotten child among SPX, DOW, and Nasdaq. DOW is performing worse than SPX at the moment. We have intraday ranges around 3%.

$COMPX 1541.71 11.21 0.73% 3.06%
$INDU 7932.76 -6.77 -0.09% 3.09%
$INX 835.19 1.45 0.17% 3.28%